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CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 4:00am EST
irreparable damage to the u.s. economy. >>> and jump t to the top of the ftse 100 after third quarter revenue beat the forecast, burberry had earnings higher than expected. >>> all right. sorted out my mike issues. "worldwide exchange" is slightly different today because we're analyzing the first german gdp numbers. >> and i come to the u.s. where it's all annualized and we stick to the european data and it's quarter on quarter. given the context, we're still working through what all that means. >> exports in november, down 94.1 billion is where we essentially went. 98.4 billion was the october numbers. so exports in november driving down. and that gdp number is worth pulling out. exports for the year, up 4.1%. as far as production is concerned, it was up 2% in november. but the forecast were for it to rise up 1%. it was a very weak october, as well. it was this production and that production number. when that came out, it essentially made people put a pretty fourth quarter in the whole, kelly. what we're trying to do is derive what the annual figure was. >> exactly. and before we get to that
CNBC
Jan 14, 2013 12:00pm EST
the entire economy. that is not how historically this has been done. that's not how we're going to do it this time. chuck what i'm saying to you is that there is no simpler solution, no ready, credible solution other than congress either give me the authority to raise the debt ceiling, or exercise the responsibility that they have kept for themselves and raise the debt ceiling. because this is about paying your bills. everybody here understands this. i mean this is not a complicated concept. you don't go out to dinner and then eat all you want and leave without paying the check. and if you do, you're breaking the law. and congress should think about it the same way the american people. you don't -- if congress wants to have a debate about maybe we shouldn't go out to dinner next time, maybe we should go to a more modest restaurant, that's fine. that's a debate that we should have. but you don't say in order for me to control my appetites i'm going to not pay the people who already provided me services. people who already lent me the money. that's not -- that's not showing any discipli
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 4:00am EST
the world. china's economy rebounds into the fourth quarter, beating expectations and snapping seven straight quarters of slow growth. >>> the british government says there's no indication that the hostage crisis is over in algeria as the reports emerge that doesz may have been killed in a rescue operation. >>> investors are unnerved by big spending plans in 2013. plus, glencore pushes back its mega merger by weeks as the regulatory commission begin necessary south africa. >>> welcome to the program. i want to bring you some breaking news in terms of energy prices. the iea is out with its latest 2013 oil report. it expects u.s. oil demand to remain flat on the year. but the headline here does appear that the market, according to the iea language here, is tighter than we thought. all of a sudden, the market looks tighter than we thought. that's the main message we're getting from the organization. it says the world forecast to consume about 90.8 million barrels per day in 2013, up by about a quarter of a million since december. despite seeing the u.s. slight to even negative, seen as
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 7:00pm EST
's my challenge to everyone. instead of just a 2% economy, why can't we do so much better and get to a 4 or 5% growth economy? president obama has still not adopted progrowth policy. here's another thing. i'm not the only one who wants the president and congress to significantly cut spending. i mean, significantly. it would be progrowth and no more tax hikes by the way. spending and the debt are the top issue of concern for voters. look, these heinous mass murders are not about weapons. question -- why isn't anyone tackling the really tough issue that may be the root causes of these atrocities? such as broken families, such as the absence of fathers who set examples for their sons? such as the loss of faith in our schools? such as our homes and our culture that have lost faith as well. tonight, we are going to talk about the family values breakdown in america. "the kudlow report" begins right now. another key point tonight. for most of the history, america drew at 3.5% per you. the last dozen years however, we have dropped below 2%. and the so-called obama recovery is just a tad above th
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 6:00am EST
's stories. the big one, china aes economy rebounding in the final quarter of to 12. growth to 7.9%, up from 7.4% the appreciate quarter. economists do caution, though, that a chinese recovery is likely to be gradual and weak to drive a global rebound without improvement in the u.s. and europe. also, the fate of dozens of hostages in algeria is still unknown. the algerian military stormed a gas field where the workers were being held. six people if not more are believed to have been killed. >>> a team of experts from boeing and the aviation experts are arriving in japan today. today the japan transportation safety board released a picture of the battery. they said the battery was blackened and carbonized, had a bulge in the middle and weighed 11 pounds less than normal. >>> and the interview everybody is talking about, i stayed up late to watch it, lance armstrong telling oprah that he cheated. >> in all seven of your tour de france victories, did you ever take banned substances or blood dope? >> yes. i view the situation as one big lie that i've repeated a lot of times. i'll spend the rest
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 4:00pm EST
as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix at 13 and change. that's too low. that's where the complacency comes from. you see it there. as we move into the debt ceiling debate, it can be far harder to solve than the taxes, we think the market can be down for a while, and before it comes back up. >> so you're looking for a decline, and perhaps that is an entry point for some. do you agree with that? >> i think any decline is an opportunity to buy, maria. i'm very, very bullish on u.s. equities and one of the main reasons i am the u.s. energy story which i think is a story that's not being told as well as it should be. in 2012 the u.s. oil production was
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 3:00pm EST
and spending cuts which could embroil the economy and stock market in a new round of uncertainty but it kicks that can down the road, so is that why stocks are a bit tempered today? we'll take a look at that. the dow right now up 12 points. we are flirting with those five and a half year highs, 13,610 and change would be that five and a half year high so we're just pleau that right now. the nasdaq down another eight points at the moment at 3127 and technology among the groups suffering today. the s&p, again, here we go again. any positive close for the standard & poor's 500 would be another five and a half year high for the s&p. let's take a closer look at the markets in today's closing bell exchange with our guests. andres, you and i were talking about the markets earlier. what do you think? getting ahead of ourselves with the rallies we've had so far this year. >> earnings matter, and we're in earnings season. to a certain extent we might see some consolidation in the short term. if we look at valuations, still looks attractive or trading 13 times future earnings, 12 months ahead. the avera
CNBC
Jan 14, 2013 4:00pm EST
, which we do a great job as the vascular system for the global economy. they build large fluid systems for petrochemical companies, energy companies, as the economy comes in, as industrial production comes back, they're well positioned. so, we're pretty constructive on the asset class, particularly because a lot of people don't seem to be all that constructive on the asset class. >> steve sax, what about you? where are you seeing the flow? what are investors particularly grav stating towards these days? >> it's till equities and all of last year, credential the first couple weeks of this year, more in particular, though, small caps and midcaps. we've started to see them out-perform large caps. that was the story of 2012, with particularly the mega caps. so, if you look at the russell 2000, the mid cap 400 versus say the s&p 500, we've not only seen more flows in those areas, but we're actually seeing the out-performance, which is also a theme i think probably continues, certainly in the first half of this year. fundamentals are really strong in u.s. equities, and that translates well g
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 3:00pm EST
hurting the economy, delaying hiring plans, capital investment plans and really everything from auto dealers in cleveland to farmers down in texas have cited the fiscal cliff as a major concern. that's something that's influencing their decision making right now. >> you would expect that given the fact that everybody is in lockdown mode as we wait to figure out what our tax rates are going to be, where the spending cuts are going to be, that it is going to impact the economy. my question is how much of an m impact going to see earnings? are they going to get hit? >> that's the key to the whole thing. as we said, the beige book numbers, when they came out there were cents. see earnings coming out, we will see comments and none are going to be positive. none will be excited about the future, and stock prices and multiples expand when people feel possible about the future. going to impact them? numbers might come in spot on. the whisper numbers, everyone is looking for, meaning hoping the numbers are a little bit bitter. i think as numbers come in, we'll start to see very little moveme
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 7:00pm EST
the key message of deep spending cuts, not the message that deep spending cuts will help grow the economy and help create jobs. . . but i did hear no budget, no pay, aimed at democratic senators but then deemed unconstitutional, and an extension of the debt ceiling for about three months which is okay. . it doesn't really go to the heart of the matter. we're going to have a report on this whole story in just a moment. . meanwhile, better news, the stock rally continues up 54 points on the dow, 161 points for the week. get this, a 35% gain in the broad s&p 500. . just since early october 2011. that's right. it's like a stealth rally. it keeps on moving. we'll talk to a leading investment ceo a bit later in the program. . first up, in williamsburg, virginia, today, house republicans have agreed to take up the plan next week to extend the debt ceiling with some conditions. i think that's boring and uninspiring. let's go to the source of this cnbc contributor robert costa. . . i think it's boring, boring, boring. you tell why this is a great. are not attached to this proposal. very three mont
CNBC
Jan 14, 2013 4:00am EST
the economy, you know, recover as subsequently as well. i think that's what we've been seeing across the region as far as policies are concerned in that they are more responsive and more, i suppose, willing to adapt should be a quick change or shift in consumer sentiment because that will have an impact on growth very quickly in a subsequent month. >> seng wun, australia has had a difficult time determining just where their sector is heading in mining. is it simply now the onus is becoming more clear? >> well, yeah. i think the last six or eight months have given policymakers some degree of confidence in that the picture from europe is stable. the risk is fairly high, there will be more problems ahead, but the determination says policymakers in europe to stay on top of this situation, give confidence to policymaker here and the u.s. is -- and, again, asia, china, it's anchoring growth here and policy is coming up on china is also towards some degree of small, stable growth rather than full speed ahead. so that gets everyone else a little bit more flexibility with regard to fiscal pol
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 4:00am EST
stronger in the second half. >> for the economy? i think we have to divorce the economy from the market. >> have we been price thatting that out? >> we have to be clear that markets are totally different from the economy. for the markets, we're looking at 2% scenario. scenario a would be similar to 2012 where i think actually the economy doesn't do that well. the first half is difficult. second half is a bit better. we've still got the fed printing 5 billion a month. we could see a rerun of 2012. maybe mid to single high digit returns. >> did you get exposure of citi to bofa here? >> we wouldn't be. we're taking a little bit of money off the table or indeed i think we did. the level of implied volatility makes perfect sense here. >> we'll leave it here for now. thanks very much. over to you, ross. >> kelly, thanks for that. so we are just about an hour and 20 minutes into the trading day here in europe. you can see advancers just about outpace decliners by a ratio of 6 to 4 and we're up near the high point of the session which has dragged us back into prospect on that particular indices
CNBC
Jan 14, 2013 1:00pm EST
. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the kru united states of america is not a bargaining chip and they better choose quickly because time is running short. >> john boehner put o out a statement right after the news conference trying to stay out of box the president put them in. he said, the house will doity job and pass responsible legislation that droenls spending, meets our nation's obligations and keeps the government running. the question will be, can he move his caucus in a place to where he is reach an agreement with the president that raises the debt limit without violating the president's pledge. he says he will only go for a balanced approach to deficit reduction, meaning tax revenue as well as spending cuts. we're in for a major fight coming up quickly, sue and tyler. looks like we can hit the debt ceiling as early as one month from now. >> john, this is not kinder gently rhetoric, not by a long shot. but who can forget the m
CNBC
Jan 14, 2013 3:00pm EST
for the global economy. then the free money on the sidelines thanks to the federal reserve and bankers globally. what sectors lead? >> check off all those boxes that you mentioned. last week we had a flow of funds for the first time in three years. back into equities. it was the largest amount in eleven years. there's trillions of dollars on the sidelines, maria. that's the fuel for my secular bull market. and leadership is definitely financials, health care, consumer staples, consumer discretionary, industrials. i just love the marvegt. >> you know, ralph, it's pisani, treasuries have had negative returns so far this year. maybe if this continues through the quarter and all of those get negative returns on their mutual fund reports for the first time in ages, they be that would be the catalyst. >> rick santelli, the time i was in the sick bed we had a wild ride for the treasuries. back to a midpoint range now. what are the markets telling you these days? >> i think i agree with jim bianco. if you look at a 20-year chart of dell, we haven't spent time over 20 since '08. we haven't spent time ab
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 7:00pm EST
including leadership quite honestly, larry, on the economy because a bad economy, unfortunately, doesn't give us the resources we need to allow for better interventions, let's say in mental health. let's look at a fellow democrat, the democrat from colorado who came out with a proposal to stream line their processes for identifying people who may be dangerous to themselves and others and also bolster mental health measures and initiatives. >> lars larson you're going to pose everything. what do you want? >> here's the problem. the president shamelessly surrounds himself with children and used them as props. ben seems uninformed on this. this young man didn't buy his firearm. he stole it from his mother after murdering his mother. the president's proposed bill to congress to ban the manufacture and sale of new sporting rifles, semiautomatic rifles and large capacity magazines wouldn't have done a darn thing to stop sandy hook or aurora, colorado. it would have done nothing. >> let me ask you this. if it were in effect -- now i don't even know, there's issues about pistol grips and there
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 12:00pm EST
, nasdaq in the red as well. china fights back after seven straight quarters of slowing growth its economy shows signs of strength. john rutledge on the stocks you should be buying right now. the rematch. not satisfied after their big debate on intel dr. j. and joe are back to battle it out again. what really is the best play right now? but first our top story the next leg for stocks, will it be up or down? the dow has been up as i said six of the past seven days but with a huge week of earnings ahead can the run continue? we're trading today's market action with pete and john. pete, up or down? where is the market going? >> you know, obviously the easy answer would be we've had this huge run. i think we'll see a pullback now. i don't think that is the case. when you look at what the earnings have given so far, look at the financials holding up still above the 17 level on the xlf i'm looking at next week as a huge week of earnings. obviously plenty of names out there that are going to be very important to the next leg higher. so now we've got to get that next leg higher. looking at the vol
CNBC
Jan 14, 2013 6:00am EST
coming this week. joining us now is jeff clinetopp at lpl financial. on the economy, dick hoey. jeff, it's going to start with you because i'm interested to see we could have not just a lower than expected increase in earnings this year, but maybe even a negative year since aus thegs companies and profit margin is were peaking. is it possible the s&p earnings do not grow this year? >> there's a distinct possibility earnings don't grow. our expectation is they grow a very small amount, but a lot of that is coming from share buyback these year. this quicker alone is a testament to that. this fourth quarter, supposed to be the lowest earnings dollar total for any of the quarters of last year. that's not the way it's supposed to work. fourth quarters is supposed to be the highest earnings total. but we've got that uncertainty lingering for 2012. this week, we'll hear from a lot of the fms. they have the highest earnings expectations for 2013. mortgages are doing well. but the less favorable -- >> and we know how difficult it has been to grow revenues year over year. so that's difficult and y
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 6:00pm EST
to the strength of the global economy no, airline can afford to cancel an order with boeing. airbus sold out for years. and you can't get back in the queue if you cancel. you will be stuck with older, less fuel efficient planes to deal with a higher priced oil environment when you can fill every seat have you and then some. boeing, the single greatest short of our lifetime, frankly, actually rallied 92 cents today. a bear's worst nightmare, which, of course, is there for the single best possible dream. for a bull. now, let's extrapolate the story. we were suppose supposed to have a horrendous, hideous economy. those guys real downers. why? washington gridlocked, confidence down, horrible down there. president, republicans, care less about the economy. supposed to be crushed, absolutely annihilated about worries of the upcoming debt ceiling and laid to waste by the end of the tax holiday. rich people stopped dead in their tracks by new tax hikes. one so steep we were supposed to switch to peanut butter and jelly sandwiches rather than dining at three-star restaurants. pass the skippy, keep th
CNBC
Jan 14, 2013 7:00pm EST
and the health of the u.s. economy as hostages. >> they will not collect our ransom in exchange for crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leveraged to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. and they better choose quickly because time is running short. >> now, house speaker john boehner responded quickly saying house republicans will do the right thing. they will be responsible, they will meet america's obligations and make sure the government does not shut down. he tried to take that specter off the table. but this is a very tough fight that's getting more and more problematic, larry, because the president said he's going to break the habit of crisis-driven fiscal negotiations. if he's going to succeed in that, somebody is going to have to break and it may have to be soon because treasury secretary geithner said this afternoon we could hit the debt ceiling and exhaust all the extraordinary measures he's been taking as soon as one month from now. >> you know, john, 2010, 2011, the 2012 he neg
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 3:00pm EST
of the issues, regulatory issues and housing was really good today. the economy is feeling better and investors aren't feeling bad. earnings numbers pretty solid so people are voting with their dollars right now. things are positive. >> for how much longer, mike? you have to admit, a pretty good run for a while now. are we due for a pullback of some kind? >> due for a rest or a pullback, would i say, but i don't think it's anything that looks like it has to be too dangerous. in addition to all the things michael is talking about, the market's refusal to go down when everybody else is saying it's overbought, probably contributed to the fact that we have this give up move higher. chatter today that maybe the republicans won't go down to the wire and contest the debt ceiling increase. all these things have swept away a lot of nagging concerns and the next thing to worry about is people don't know exactly what the next thing to worry about s is. >> let's turn it over to you. what are you expecting throughout the rest of this earnings season. we haven't had any major blowoffs, but we're not talking
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 7:00pm EST
of taxes and spending. if this economy were growing, you would have a substantially lower budget deficit. gentlemen we will welcome you back another time. >> there is at least one state in the northeast that gets it. natural gas shale and it is pennsylvania and the republican governor tom corebet is about to join us. he picks up support from chuck schumer who didn't get an apology for the anti-israel statements. if we were growing at 5% instead of 2% we would be close to a balanced budget today. i'm kudlow we will be right back. at 1:45, the aflac duck was brought in with multiple lacerations to the wing and a fractured beak. surgery was successful, but he will be in a cast until it is fully healed, possibly several months. so, if the duck isn't able to work, how will he pay for his living expenses? aflac. like his rent and car payments? aflac. what about gas and groceries? aflac. cell phone? aflac, but i doubt he'll be using his phone for quite a while cause like i said, he has a fractured beak. [ male announcer ] send the aflac duck a get-well card at getwellduck.com. >>> here is the g
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 4:00am EST
about the u.s. economy, the turning in the house prices, europe, for example, these things will make an extraordinary amount of money even if they require more capital because banks are extremely leveraged institutions. and you only need a small amount of top line growth for them to make a lot of profits. >> if you to pick u.s. banks versus the rest of the world, what do you like for 2013? >> it bizarre thing is that last year everybody was upset about the masters of the universe and were talking up their retail and sort of consumer arms because credit losses were falling. interestingly, this year i suspect bank with more exposure to independent banking will probably do a lot better much to the chagrin of politicians i suspect. why is that? the m&a pipeline's looking all right. u.s. economy's looking slightly better. and we're still pre-basal 3. >> we'll leave it there. lex on wex, can we use that? >> yeah. >> is that all right with you? >> fine by me. >> lex on wex. >> stuart, thank you very much. we will be talking later about divestment. merger and acquisition activity this year d
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 9:00am EST
sensitive to the economy commodity in the world. ip took out a lot of capacity. ip is a genius. this company's had an unmitigated run. capacity's constrained, prices going up, 95% of capacity. that is like -- you can put the price increase after price increase, that says the economy is much stronger than expected. this is the first commodity to raise prices big when things get better. they're raising prices consistently. very bullish. >> that is a great, great tell. still more to come this morning. get ready for an ipo hat trick, sunco energy partners, norwegian cruise lines, all making their debuts this morning. stick around to see how they open for trading. the opening bell is just a few minutes away. what are you doing? nothing. are you stealing our daughter's school supplies and taking them to work? no, i was just looking for my stapler and my... this thing. i save money by using fedex ground and buy my own supplies. that's a great idea. i'm going to go... we got clients in today. [ male announcer ] save on ground shipping at fedex office. ♪ [ indistinct shouting ] [ male announcer ] t
CNBC
Jan 13, 2013 7:30pm EST
ceiling, the new treasury secretary, so will washington be an obstacle to the markets and the economy, or will washington actually be a help? joining me now, greg ip, u.s. economists editor of "the economist" and author of "the little book of economists" and jerry webman. gentlemen, good to see you. thank you so much for spending the time. >> hi, maria. >> president obama's pick for treasury secretary we learned officially this week. his chief of staff, jack lew, will take over for timothy geithner. is this a missed opportunity to be friendly to business, the business community, or is this a good call, since it appears nobody on earth knows the budget better than mr. lew? >> well, i think wall street and the business community would indeed have liked somebody who was perhaps of their own ranks. somebody like a jamie dymond or larry fink, who could build bridges between the business community, which feels a little bit alienated by the administration's first-term policies. and mr. obama. but what they got was a guy who, while not one of them -- at least does know the budget really well,
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 12:00pm EST
see underlying economy. >> hello jeremy segal. >> i'm not as bullish as he is. >> multiple expansion. >> absolutely. >> that's why he thinks we'll hit record highs. >> insurance is cheap. you go into dr. j's world. >> our next guest is making a startling prediction on where stocks are about to go. tom fitzpatrick is global head of citi fx technicals. joins us live. welcome. good to have you on. although i'm not sure many people watching now want to hear your prediction. >> it's on leah prediction. >> where do you think we're going? >> in the short term as your previous commentators we have some lags left. the s&p we just moved to this new high above 4075. very similar to the way we traded in 2007 and 2000. i wouldn't be surprised if there's a little bit of lag here and maybe up towards 1495 for the reason, momentum. momentum came in the first move up from last year and we're seeing a loss of momentum similar to what we saw there. also we're seeing in the big picture, overlays on the dow jones that we're in the levels that we believe we'll peak out in. while there's left on the top si
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 4:00pm EST
of the economy. a discussion about the fed earlier in terms of the beige book numbers. what do you think that tells us on where we are in the economy? >> look at numbers of the last week or two, retail production numbers for december, and they were actually pretty good. of course, the employment numbers we already know were soiled, and this is in a period where the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff was reaching a maximum. you know, maria, you think that's pretty encouraging that the economy has managed to cope with a high level of uncertainty. now the thing that kind of bothers me though is i'm a little bit worried that this coping is flipping over to complacency. the vix is now at a six-year low, and it tells me that the market is discounting 100% probability that we get through the debt ceiling without any trouble. that seems too high to me. >> so do you think the market is expecting that? i mean, when would you expect a big change in terms of the interest rate scenario? >> in terms of the interest rate scenario, probably nothing this year. i mean, we're at least a couple years away fr
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 4:00pm EST
now that the global economies are recovering. if you heard schlumberger and ge today, both companies on their conference calls, talked about china being probably the best area for activity 2013. and i think that's very exciting, and that's the reason -- one of the main reasons why you want to be buying this market if you do get a little bit more volatility over the next week. in addition, i think the u.s. continues to do pretty well, too. so i like the market, and on volatility we're buying it. >> so, we've got an economic story that seems to be better from the macro point of view, dean. and by the way, i should point out this market rocketed at the end of the day, settled up 53 points on the dow jones industrial average. what does the macro story look like you to right now? >> the macro story is considerably better than it's been over the past couple of years, pes legs with the european contagion story. not done but off the table for now. obviously things like the debt ceiling and the dysfunction in washington are reasons for concern, but i think one of the factors that's underpinni
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 9:00am EST
. that means the lending is not going on. we're still at increasingly a low economy. if you buy back the dell, you don't go to the banks anymore. you find other sources of money. i think that the financial story and economic story is saying this is not the kind of financial environment that leads to rapid growth. >> interesting. >> okay. >> you tied it in to dell and jpmorgan and everything else. excellent. larry, thank you. >> my pleasure. >> join us tomorrow. "squawk on the street" begins right now. >>> good wednesday morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee with carl quintanilla, and jim cramer and david faber at the new york stock exchange. stocks had a pretty nice day yesterday. the s&p closed at five-year highs. we are looking to the down decide this morning. the dow looking to lose about 62 at the open. the picture in europe, a couple of downgrades for gdp forecasts from both the german government and world bank. italy is down by 1.5%. road map this morning starts off with the banks and earnings. jpmorgan higher. goldman sachs at 18-month highs. >> japan airlines gro
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 1:00pm EST
. >>> onto the debt ceiling. the deadline approaching so it washington on the verge of killing an economy that many people think is actually experiencing a very nice little rebound? we're going to ask loan ceo jim tisch when "power lunch" returns. ♪ [ male announcer ] how do you turn an entrepreneur's dream... ♪ into a scooter that talks to the cloud? ♪ or turn 30-million artifacts... ♪ into a high-tech masterpiece? ♪ whatever your business challenge, dell has the technology and services to help you solve it. >>> four days before the inauguration the latest nbc wall street journal poll is out with the breaking news. john harwood in washington. john? >> tyler, we've just got one question. the full poll comes out tonight but this shows you some of the difficulty president obama is going to face with this gun control issue he's pursuing. look at the public image of the national rifle association. it shows you it's a pretty tough target. at three different decision points after tragedies, columbine they had a net negative rating. at the giffords shooting it was better in early 2011
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 12:00pm EST
of whether where it is was. i like the deutsch call. unless we have a lot of trouble with our economy here, judge, which i don't think we're going to have, i think this continues to work and works back into the mid-40s by the end of this quarter. >> talk to me, weiss, about some airlines. they have been doing incredibly well. lately here is ual and lcc. >> they were early in upgrading the airlines and the airlines used to be like drinking beer. you rented it. you didn't own it. now you've got the airline business changed completely. so the fundamentals are very good. not as competitive as they used to be. they know how to allocate their capital. the merger between u.s. air and american is in the stocks. that will make it even better. i disagree. i think you hold them and buy on dips. >> let's go to jackie deangeles. jackie? >> that's right, scott. platinum is selling above gold for the first time in ten months. what is the best bet for 2013? rachel is at the cme in chicago and anthony in new york. is gold just moving up today on platinum's move? >> definitely gold is moving up on platinum.
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 6:00pm EST
of these moments where the world economies are going to be better. i say that because it is the same batehavior i've seen over d over and over again. they are days to buy, not sell. in order to get into this bull market, here is the bottom line, i think this market is simply taking a snooze after a big bull run. but wakes itself up perhaps with my clock and if history serves me right, they go higher not lower and it is turned out that their evaluations ended up being catalysts galore. bob in florida, bob >> it is fwrat to tais great to. south florida by way of teaneck, new jersey. i'm calling about krispy kreme donuts. i sold it and forgot about it and now it seems like they reinvented themselves. the stock is up 70% since mid november and still trading. even talk about take over. >> i believe there is a turn going on. it has been ages since i looked at it. the last time i looked at it i chipped my tooth. i will do more work on it and see where this one can stop. nobody does know. robert in massachusetts, robert. >> booyah jim, hail from massachusetts. >> fantastic. >> there you go pats i don't k
CNBC
Jan 14, 2013 9:00am EST
in the second half of this year, we could start seeing some economies get traction again. of course, some of the very badly hit economies like greece, it will take longer. but europe i think should improve. >> the chairman and ceo of mercedes-benz joining us first on cnbc. the e-class rollout here earlier today. i'm not sure that i have ever seen an unveiling with as many people as were jammed in here to the mercedes stand today here in detroit. back to you. >> that is a big deal, phil. you've seen your share of unveilings, that's for sure. phil lebeau in treat today. one food company on the move, let's get to kayla tausche who is manning the market flash desk. >> watching flowers foods. that's a southern food company, flo. about $4 billion in market cap, that stock up more than 6% hitting an all-time high on its first trading day after signing an agreement to acquire the majority of the bread businesses from hostess brands. that includes wonder bread. of course we're still waiting for some of the other bidders for some of the other units to be announced. right now flowers is the bid to b
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 3:00pm EST
did. the fact is we still have a good fundamental backdrop. the economy is expanding. it's not contracting or growing. value sheets are strong and valuations are very attractive so what is there not to like? >> you're our resident skeptic today, and i would point not to the normal averages that we quote every day, but look at the dow transportation average which could close at an all-time high today. the transportation companies, often a leading indicator for the economy. if they are doing well. chances are the economy is going to get better. wouldn't that make you want to buy stocks right now. >> it does. we're not -- we're actually a little bit more bullish, esespecially the first six months of the year. we still are expecting slow growth, commodities where we're shorting assets, but in terms of u.s. and in terms of international, we do expect growth, and we are excited about what's happening, but later on in the year i think it's going to be another story. >> what do you mean by that, later on in the year? what's going to be the upset later on in the year? >> there's a
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 4:00pm EST
for the economy. what are you seeing? >> well, 2012 was the year housing really made its statement at its back. it's not back to where it was, but surely we can now say housing has turned the corner so that's a good thing for the economy. when housing does well, everything else seems to do well. quite a multiplier effect. in fact, there's been no recovery in this country of size or stability without housing participating or leading. energy is doing pretty well. we see some manufacturing, but to be honest about it, the recovery is still not as strong as it needs to be. there's still too much uncertainty, and there needs to be more clarify for the economy to take off. >> a really important point because i think businesses are, you know, shaping up and are currently in great shape in terms of cash on balance sheets. >> terrific. >> so they have the potential to put money to work, although that uncertainty factor is really keeping them from doing so. >> in fact, corporate balance sheets have never been better. liquidity, cash, we've grown 300 billion in core deposits in four years. you know, consumer
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 1:00pm EST
that president obama put them in saying they are holding the u.s. economy hostage. they are saying no. we are holding the senate hostage it a debt limit increase, that's what they have to do and we will see how far they get with the proposal. if we do a short term extension of the debt limit we are going to make it be clean without conditions. and this is what the back and forth is going to be in the parties over the next couple of weeks. >> let's talk a little bit about two other major deadlines here. does this have any impact whatsoever john as far as can you see on the the impending so-called sequestering, which i believe kicks in sometime in the next six weeks or so. and then in late march, on the idea that the government will run out of money. there will be no authorization to spend anything more and the government could functionally shut down. is that involved here at all? >> not in a formal sense. but of course all of this is linked together, what the spending plans are to come up with cuts to avoid the budget sequester which neither party wants because it affects it in is indiscri
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 6:00am EST
the debt ceiling or put the u.s. economy st. at risk. it's tuesday, january 15th, 2013 and "squawk box" begins right now. >>> good morning, everybody. welcome to "squawk box" here on cnbc. i'm becky quick along with joe kernen and andrew ross sorkin. we've been watching the u.s. equity futures and at least at this point you can see they do look like they're indicated to open a little lower. right now, dow futures down by about 16 points below fair value. the s&p futures are about 2 points below fair value. we have some different nebs going on at the top of the screen than we do on that fair value board. we'll check on that, as well. >>> dell is said to be in talks with private companies in reports of a possible guyout. the journal says jpmorgan is involved in the negotiations. dell shares have been soaring near an eight-month high on first word of this news yesterday. you can see up about close to 2% to the premarket sales. 64 is the last dip. in other technology news, facebook is holing a press conference today. no word on what the big announcement will be. you've heard a lot of analy
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 9:00am EST
that is indeed worrisome. however, we are seeing some pretty good signs in the economy right now, so we're hopefully optimistic that they'll continue. and last thing anybody who's bet against america has proved it's a losing bet in the past. we're very bullish on this country. >> steve, thanks so much for your time. thank you for joining us first on cnbc. >> thank you. >>> interesting debate. meantime, goldman sachs making waves with the bonus pay joits. we'll get that in a moment. after the break, david faber's exclusive with mel karmazin. he's here to give us his very first interview since stepping down as the ceo of sirius xm. we're back in a couple of minutes. mine was earned in djibouti, africa, 2004. the battle of bataan, 1942. [ all ] fort benning, georgia, in 1999. [ male announcer ] usaa auto insurance is often handed down from generation to generation because it offers a superior level of protection and because usaa's commitment to serve the military, veterans, and their families is without equal. begin your legacy. get an auto-insurance quote. usaa. we know what it means to s
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 6:00am EST
, housing is better, you want to be invested in this economy for the next three to five years because that's where you're going to make money. you're not going to make money in fixed income. you're not going to make money focusing on only pure dividend stocks that are 5%, 6%. you're going to have to have companies that can grow the top lines, that have the ability to shepherd capital and really can take the consumer that is now in a better shape than the u.s. and now is getting better overseas to grow your company. >> okay. so you're talking mostly about multi national companies or -- >> multi nationals and secular growth companies. >> both? >> both, absolutely. but you want good companies with management that are just not going to sit there and do financial engineering and say, oh, we borrowed more money and because our cost of debt is lower than our dividend and we can do that. that party is over. that game is done. you really want the companies that i think if you want to beat the market and we think actually the market is going to have -- is going to grow, gives you a look at how much
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 1:00pm EST
. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well being of the people is not eleven rafrmged to with used. it is not a bargaining chip. and they'd better choose quickly because time is running short. >> representative lynn jenkins is a republican from kansas. she is also the house republican vice chair. i guess basically i should ask you to respond to the president. >> well, i wish the president would stop campaigns and come over to the hill and have a conversation with us. republicans are willing to work with this situation which is our out of control wasest watt errand spending. >> you'd like to have him -- he sayed yesterday he has a nice pick imevery year. he said this in the wall street toufrpd. it's wrong to think of it as ooh long stamp. those days are onner. that debt limbet is one of the last steps toing tagt tachlkts there are a lot of americans who would 'fwree with that analysis. >> senatorial obama afwleeed with those comments. claiming it was a lack of leadership. i think that is true today. and you have to review how we find ourselves in
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 5:00pm EST
being where they are. if we see any growth in the economy and rates start to move, that is a potentially a lot of juice for these earnings. >> right. >> and to me, yes, they've rallied a long way from the fourth quarter, but still, they are so cheap. >> i was going to say, where do you come in on valuation here? it's cheap to its peers, its chart is fantastic. the valuation doesn't say sell. but -- >> i think it says hold. i mean, you -- the valuation in terms of p.e. is really not expensive, tangible book, we're so used to things trading below tangible book. maybe a little higher. it doesn't seem to me like, wow, you are really paying through the nose. you're not. bank of america, you're getting it well below tangible book value, citibank, same thing. so, i'm still staying with the -- staying with the bet for sure. >> so, a buyer. you? >> i'd be a buyer, but specifically goldman sachs. on this desk, we talk about levels in the name. it was 119, it was 130. now it's 140. if it holds this level, it's 150. it has not disappointed. this bank has outperformed 99% of the space. but another na
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 6:00am EST
are and as much as we can tell about the economy and financial sector, we will be obsessed with jamie dimon, if he didn't get as much of a bonus as normal because his pristine reputation because of the wale slipping -- thing we can find as members of the media. >> $6 million trade on a balance sheet of -- >> i don't know how much they made in spite of that. a lot. >>> speaking of the bank, another -- >> look who's here! >> and dressed normally, too. >> can we get the man a chair? he can't sit -- ♪ >> we thought you were trying on different zweaters. on a day like this, what is the right look for a young, happening, dashing -- >> what -- what -- >> you have time. don't do this to viewers. it's not that important. did you not get make-up? >> no. he didn't. >> look at -- this is natural beauty. >> you didn't shave -- you really think you need to be here that much that you can't get make-up? >> absolutely. >> taking one for the team. >> all right. >> speaking of this -- stay on us, please. morgan stanley will take -- you can get powder or something if you want. just headlines -- >> the women didn't
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 1:00pm EST
amendment to circumvent congress and protect the economy. congressman, welcome. good to have you with us. before we turn to the debt ceiling, i would like your reactions to the president's proposals to curb gun violence and whether you think those legislative proposals that he made have a chance of getting through either house of congress or both. >> i do. i mean, all of us are just astonished and appalled at what happened in newtown and the idea that a 6-year-old child would have 11 high capacity bullet designed by the military for combat pumped into that little child is really changing the discussion here. so i think the focus on practical things like high capacity magazines, like background checks that work, like trying to come up with appropriate assault weapon ban, these all make sense. and then his executive authority to make certain that laws we have on the books against gun trafficking are actively and aggressively enforced, i think those are practical suggestions. a lot of debate but a new day here. >> congressman, let's move on to another hot topic debate and that is the debt c
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 9:00am EST
, you have to see the economy get better. that could happen. i'm hoping it will happened. i'm just not sure if this is the time to put new money into goldman sachs, if we're sure not sure that will play its way out. it's just a matter of, how long does it take for the uncertainty to get out of the way, so companies can get back to making acquisitions. >> jeff, do people give you a hard time when you cut the ratings and yet boost the price targets? that gets made fun of a lot. >> yeah, we do get some for it. the price target increase, it's very form layically driven. what our pick it into our what it's done over the last decades, and the price target -- i don't think 1.1 times tangible is expensive, but we do get some push back on that for sure. >> i'll bet you do. we had a discussion earlier about whether the go long money center short liegen center will last other reverse. do you have a view? >> i would expect it to last, maybe continue. the pressure is hitting the bank industry right now. i think the money center banks have a usneaks advantage to not have as much pressure and exp
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 6:00pm EST
to be reflective of a loan environment that's commensurate with a 2% to 3% growth economy. given that we think we'll get our fair share, we'll put some very profitable relationships long-term high-quality relationships on the balance sheet, and at the e of the -- this cycle, we're going to feel very, very good about how our customer business is structured and what that means for long returns. >> bryan, i've got to tell you, this group is going to get hot. i know it has to. and bryan's the chairman, president, and ceo of first horizon national. thank you so much, sir, for coming on the show. >> thank you, jim. thanks for having me. >> we still don't have the confidence. and that's really hurting a lot of the lending in this country. well, look, we get it, these stocks are going to rocket. let's put it that way. fhn, good stock, stay with cramer. >>> coming up -- sweet speck? cramer's got a sweet tooth tonight, and he's hungry for a scrumptious speck. chocolate sprinkles or covered in cream, could this confectionery delight stock make you salivate? stick around to find out. with the spark cash card
CNBC
Jan 14, 2013 5:00pm EST
tested peri periods. when we see the credit and the strength of the u.s. economy questioned, that kind of drop in confidence has the potential to create the next financial collapse. of course, so does unchecked runaway spending. so, it seems clear, neither is a good option. it's hope washington realizes this. quick check on the markets and it was a mixed day. the dow jones up 18 points. nasdaq down 8. s&p 500 down 1.37 points. the real stock of the day was dell. it is higher today on reports that it is in talks over a possible buyout by private equity firms. take a look. the stock rallied almost 13%. that will do it for us. thank you for being with us. hope you'll follow me on twitter and google plus. stay with cnbc, because "fast money" begins right now. >>> live from the nasdaq market site in new york city's times square. i'm melissa lee. sour apples. shares of the iphone maker slide. is apple turning into forbidden fruit? the mystery event. what facebook could be unveiling in less than 24 hours. we're in countdown mode with one of its biggest investors. and the great rotation into s
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 12:00pm EST
year. if you believe the economy is stable which we do. i still think the high yield market will generate couponed return this year. maybe a touch better. quite frankly we'd love to see spreads widen out a little bit. we've had quite a rally at the beginning of the year, actually toward the end of last year into the beginning of the year. we'd love to see it back up a bit to create better value in the high yield market. i still think it's going to be a good year especially if we believe equities are going to have a solid performance. >> enis? >> enis taner. you mentioned global markets the yields coming down. what do you think about emerging market bonds? i know you've mentioned you like them. but the yield differential between developed markets and emerging markets is certainly compressed in the last year. >> yeah, yeah. enis, the story is everything compressing in the last year. it is -- searching out opportunity becomes the upside is limited given where spreads have gone to. we do think, though, that there are still -- you're seeing in asia, parts of latin america, you're
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